Showing posts with label interest rate. Show all posts
Showing posts with label interest rate. Show all posts

Thursday, January 27, 2011

Indian Stock Market Daily Outlook

Nifty future January expiry levels




Market balance point for nifty future is placed at 5715 on expiry day.


5750 will be the resistance region.


5780 is the breakout level. Break out targets are 5803, 5830 and 5860.




Reversal from MBP / resistance will take nifty down to 5684 and 5665.




Break down level is 5649. Break down targets are 5621, 5590 and 5565.






NEXT: holiday list


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss



Monday, January 24, 2011

Indian Stock Market Daily Outlook

NIFTY FUTURE OUTLOOK


RBI (Reserve Bank of India) is set to announce quarterly financial policy on Tuesday.

Readers would be well advised to adopt a wait and watch approach for trading tomorrow.


The balance point for nifty future is placed at 5745 tomorrow.


Resistance is placed at 5770.


Break out level is 5787.


Above 5787 nifty future will move to 5800 and 5815.




5720 will act as support for nifty future.


Break down level is 5710.


Breakdown targets are 5695, 5680 and 5665.




NEXT: Weekly pick






Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss





Thursday, October 14, 2010

Nifty Trading Plan 14-October-2010

NIFTY FUTURE OUTLOOK


            What a move by bulls. 


On huge FII buying yesterday nifty and sensex went through the roof.


Nifty exactly moved up from pivot level mentioned in yesterday's article.


For today's trading nifty future pivot has moved to 6249.


Resistance is at 6288 and above 6304 nifty will rocket to 6340 and 6380.


Reversal from resistance will take nifty to 6249 and 6210.


For nifty to be in negative zone, it must break and trade below 6194. 


Doing so nifty will correct to 6140 and 6120.




NEXT: NIFTY FUTURE SOARS FROM PIVOT

SPECIAL: Coverage of IDFC infrastructure bonds


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss

Saturday, October 9, 2010

IDFC Infrastructure Bond - Should we be buying it ?

IDFC INFRASTRUCTURE BONDS


                         Have a look at any paper, one will be bombarded with ads for IDFC infra bonds.


The brokers are  hiring temporary helps to cold call customers and getting them to invest.


And I was no exception. I also got enticed. So I decided to do a study on what is the deal about 


IDFC infra bonds. Here are my findings.




What is the noise all about?
    
       It all started with the budget in which FM announced extra tax rebate for infra bonds which is in addition to the existing 1L limit. And that is the only advantage of this whole thing. 


I will explain why. 


IDFC infrastructure bonds come in 4 series. (More on that later).


The interest rate on these bonds are either 7.5 or 8%. Now if I subtract tax from it,
returns become paltry 5.5 to 6%. Not so good now right?


However, if you add the tax benefit returns become 9 - 9.5%. This is much better isn't it.


So we have established, that this infra bond thing is useful only for tax saving. 


Ok now to the technical stuff.


Minimum investment a person has to make is 10,000 rs. 
One can invest more than 20,000 , but he/she will receive tax break only for 20,000.


How can one invest in IDFC infrastructure bond


One needs to have a demat account for investing in this bond, as these bonds will be listed 


on  both NSE and BSE.


Lock-in Period - When will I get money back


Lock-in period for these bonds are 5 years and maturity period is 10 years. 


What does this mean? You cannot get this money back till the end of 5th year.


After 5 years, you can hold it till 10 years when IDFC will give your original money + interest earned. 


Another option is, since these bonds are listed on the stock exchanges, one can sell it off in the 


market just like any other stock after 5 years. 


What is this 4 series ?


IDFC has introduced bonds in 4 flavours. Series 1, Series 2, Series 3, Series 4.


Essentially they differ in type of interest and buyback.


Series 2 and 4 pay cumulative interest. 


Series 3 and 4 offer buyback. Buy back means, you can sell the bonds to IDFC at the end of 5 


years. If one doesn't take this option, he will have to sell it in NSE or BSE as explained above.




What is the conclusion


 1) Don't bother about this unless are in 30% income tax bracket.


2) Invest only maximum of 20,000.


3) I will only go for series 4 (cumulative + buy back + interest rate of 7.5%) since my objective is 


only to get tax break.








Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss





      
                            

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