Showing posts with label Reliance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Reliance. Show all posts

Sunday, May 19, 2013

Reliance Industries 20 MAY 2013

RELIANCE INDUSTRIES - A FIBONACCI PERSPECTIVE

As per Fibonacci study, RELIANCE has closed above critical resistance level and is about the buckle the downtrend which started last week of January 2013.

Chart









Trading Strategy

I would accumulate RELIANCE in the range 830 - 820 with stop loss of 815 on closing basis for targets 880 - 900 in short term positional trade.



Disclaimer:

This is not to be interpreted as a trading recommendation. This is a personal trade shared for educational purpose only. Risk of all trades remains with reader of this blog.



Sunday, September 5, 2010

LargeCap Trading Stocks for next week

Following stocks look good for trading for the coming week.


1) LIC Housing Finance


LIC crossing over 1224 will move to 1238, 1250 and 1275.


LIC breaking and trading below 1202 will correct to 1180, 1165 and 1150.


2) RELIANCE INFRA


RELINFRA above 1037 will move to 1060, 1080 and 1105.


RELINFRA breaking 1010 will move down to 985, 965 and 940.


3) STATE BANK OF INDIA


SBI crossing and trading above 2795 will move to 2835, 2870 and 2900.


SBI breaking below 2745 will crash land to 2695, 2665 and 2640.


Always analyze the stock using your trading system before entering these trades.


NEXT: NIFTY WEEKLY OUTLOOK


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss

Saturday, August 7, 2010

The best of last week

Most popular links last week


RELIANCE exactly reversed from near our resistance level and crashed to


first target. This happened at a time when fund houses and technical analysts were


shouting 'buy buy' for RIL.


Link


Readers of jerrytechnicals would have just said 'bye bye'.


We started our coverage for 'TATA Investment Company'.


Link


The stock still trades above our buy price.


We are waiting patiently to enter this trade.


Nifty is a narrow range. We predicted the same will happen.


Link


Nfty crossed above BO level and moved to target 2 .


That was the only trade for weekly traders in nifty.


Did you like the above post ? Why not share it with your friends ?


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Friday, April 2, 2010

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

Indian Stock Market Outlook (Nifty) 01-April-2010

NIFTY - Continuing love affair with 5258



Well it looks like the love affair will end one way or the other.


Tomorrow 5276 will be huge resistance level for nifty future.


Reversal from 5276 will take nifty future to 5245 and 5224 tomorrow.


Inorder for nifty future to trade with positive bias and make a april fool out of bears, it must break and trade above 5292 with volumes.


5320 and 5345 are the projected targets in such a scenario


Next : Article on nifty outlook 30th march


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.

Monday, March 29, 2010

Indian Stock Market Outlook (Nifty) 30-March-2010

RECAP


Readers who went long in L&T based on our article would have minted the almighty dollar as it roared to 1672 today.


NIFTY



Nifty future will have huge resistance in 5330 to 5347 zone tomorrow.


Reversal from high resistance zone will mean nifty reversing to key support level of 5258 (there we go again :-) ).


Only if nifty is able to trade above 5365 with volumes, will bulls be able to take charge.


In such a scenario nifty will move to fibonacci confluence target of 5398 - 5411.


It promises to be a great day for intra day traders tomorrow with wild moves in the offing.


Let us see how tomorrow pans out.


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.

Thursday, March 25, 2010

Indian Stock Market Outlook (Nifty) 26-March-2010

RECAP


As expected nifty traded in a narrow range and moved from our support level to our resistance level.


LT fell to first target of short @ 1601 before trend reversal.


NIFTY


Finally nifty conquered the golden level of 5258.


The same 5258 will act as strong support for nifty tomorrow, while it moves to higher targets of 5295, 5320 and 5340.


Nifty future will be weak only below 5220.


LT


LT made a beautiful move today.


Tomorrow 1630 is support region for LT.


If 1630 is held with volumes, LT will shoot up to 1680 and 1703 tomorrow.


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Indian Stock Market Outlook (Nifty) 25-March-2010

Expiry day - Will there be fireworks ??


The inability of nifty to trade above 5258 is a mattern of concern for bulls.


We at JT (JerryTechnicals) expect this expiry to be a flat one.


Tomorrow the market could trade in a very narrow range from 5215 to 5255.


Only if nifty trades below 5210 with volumes, bears can get the upper hande.


Similarly, 5258 will remain the level to cross on the upside for bulls.


LT - Could fall to bear play



L&T is trading at a high resistance zone. Drying volumes indicates it might come under the scanner of bears.


1624 will be the key level to watch for bears. Reversal from 1624 will take LT straight to 1601.


Break and trade below 1595 means LT could crash to 1584 and 1577.


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.

Monday, March 22, 2010

Indian Stock Market Outlook (Nifty) 23-March-2010

NIFTY FUTURE OUTLOOK



Nifty future will have huge resistance at 5241 tomorrow.


For nifty to be positive it must trade above 5258 with volumes.


Reversal from 5240 will take nifty to 5219 and 5205.


Breaking and trading below 5195 will make all hell let loose in nifty and bears will hammer nifty to 5178, 5160 and 5143.


Trading above 5258 with volumes will take nifty to 5300 , 5320 and 5335.


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.

Thursday, March 18, 2010

Stuck on you 5258 - Indian Stock Market Outlook (Nifty and Bank Nifty) 19-March-2010

Nifty is really struggling to cross and trade above 5258 , the key level, as mentioned in the posts last 2 days.


Crossing and trading above 5258 with volumes, nifty will attempt to cross 5273.


On successful conquering of 5273, nifty will inch higher to the next stumbling block of 5292.


Above that will be another stumbling block of 5311 :-), which is our target for the week for buy at 5100.


Refer to weekly outlook post :- link


Lot of resistance overhead.


In case nifty reverses from 5258 area, it will revert to fibonacci mean of 5205 and golden mean of 5188.


Most indexes around the world have already crossed their highs made in January 2010.


Will nifty be far behind ? Let us wait and find out !!!


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

Indian Stock Market Outlook (Nifty and Bank Nifty) 18-March-2010

NIFTY


5258 remains the key level for nifty future for tomorrow.


If nifty trades above 5258 with volumes, it will move to high resistance area of 5307.


Trading below 5240 will make nifty week and induce correction to 5219 and 5205.


Only a break and trade below 5200 with volumes will drift nifty into the negative region


and move it down to 5165.


TATAMOTORS



Tata Motors chart looks very promising for tommorrow.


Tata Motors could be bought at 765 with stop loss below 752 for targets 785, 797.20 and 807


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Indian Stock Market Outlook (Nifty and Bank Nifty) 17-March-2010

RECAP


Many readers have mailed in to ask why the blog was not updated today.


Well, just have a look at weekly outlook of nifty and Bank Nifty.


Both followed what we had written like actors following a script.


NIFTY



5175 will act as strong support for nifty future tomorrow.


If bulls decide to keep up the momentum they have created today, first signs of it will come when nifty crosses and trades above 5258.


Doing so, nifty future will move to 5280, 5300 and 5320.


Only trading below 5162 will make nifty make and drag nifty down to 5140, 5120 and 5100.


Note that RIL's 200 dma is placed around 1077 and it would take a lot of effort from other index stocks for sustaining the momentum


created by bulls today.


BANK NIFTY


As written in the weekly view, BNF fortunes will largely depend on if it trades above 9125.


Trading above 9125 with volumes, BNF will move to 9160, 9185 and 9215.


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.

Tuesday, October 27, 2009

Response to reader queries



Flashback




Although nifty did not come upto short level, enterprising readers would have made a killing in nifty short today with the levels given.


BNF short trade was in the money all the time.


Reliance crashed to second target. All in all a superb week so far for us.






No trading levels for tomorrow


There are no trading levels for tomorrow. After 3 days of superb movement it might be time for nifty to take a pause.


Although much will depend on how dow trades today, I for one will be taking a break tomorrow.






Some interesting questions from esteemed readers and responses




Over the week I received many interesting questions from esteemed readers. I was too busy to respond to many of them.


I use this oppurtunity to post those questions and answer them.






1) Where do you see nifty by decemeber expiry ?




One of the best questions.One area that I am not good at is time and price projection.


Though I try to make it up by relying on fibonacci time confluences, I have to say my guess is as good as yours.




Now looking at nifty from current levels, using fibonacci confluence levels, for a trend change to +ive we need a weekly closing above 5100.


On the downside 4750 is a strong support region, and after that 4300. I shall present a detailed analysis with chart on the coming weekend.






2) I still hold 20% nifty bees. Would it be wise to exit ?




Well this is a rhetorical question. Was my post on 22nd october untimely or not clear?






3) Can you give trading recommendations for Bank Nifty just like you do in nifty?


I definitely can. However because of the inherent volatility, it is extremely difficult to give overnight recommendations


for bank nifty. However many of you have writen in to tell me how beautifully the levels given are working. That is the exact intention.


A good, experienced trader shall be able to print out the almighty dollar with those levels. So statusquo shall be maintained on BNF.






4) Can you give support and resitance levels for Nifty future just like BNF?




Are you trying to suggest that the trades recommended in nifty are bad? Would love to know why one would require additional levels.






5) Will you teach trading techniques?




Well i have already demonstrated practical application of fibonacci confluences, both price and time, how to trade BNF pivots etc etc.


It is upto to the reader to build on it further. If one is looking for a 'from the scratch' teaching model, i am afraid it is going to have to wait for a bit longer.


How long?? Hey i already told i am weak at time projection ;-)






6) Trading by your levels alone one can make a decent profit. Can you provide levels for gold too?




Well, since the blog started, the profit tracker tells me, a reader would have made 10L + in trading 2 lots of nifty future and 1 lot of stock future.


I would say that is rather 'indecent' profit comapared to what the average Joe on the dalaal street makes.


I already made the announcement about commodity levels.






7) Why is this site free?




This has to be the best question ever. I blog out of passion and as a way of expressing myself.


However if any reader wants to donate he/she can do so in two ways




1) Provide the website link to friends, family and everyone you know.


2) Get us some advertisements to be placed on the website






I believe i have answered all the questions i received to the fullest extent possible. Do keep the queries pouring.




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Monday, October 19, 2009

Nifty Outlook 20 October 2009

Bull Level




Buy nifty future at 5110 with stop loss at 5080 for targets 5170, 5195, 5215




Bear Level




Nifty future breaking 5080 short sell with stop loss at 5110 for targets 5045, 5020, 5000.




Sultan of stocks







For tuesday trading buy RIL future at 2185 with stoploss at 2165 for targets 2215, 2245, 2285.






Trading levels for Bank Nifty Future





Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.












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Wednesday, October 14, 2009

Nifty outlook 15-October-2009

Flashback




Both Nifty and RELCAPITAL achieved targets at open itself there by robbing readers of good trading oppurtunities.


Meanwhile nifty inched ever so closer to my target of 5270.




Bull Level


Buy nifty future at 5070 with stoploss at 5030 for targets 5120, 5160, 5185.




Bear Level


Short sell nifty future at 5185 with stoploss at 5200 for targets 5160, 5120, 5075.




There are no stock recommendations for tomorrow.




Bank Nifty Support and Resistance Levels for Thursday





Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.






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Thursday, October 8, 2009

Nifty Outlook 08-October-2009

Bear Level


Short nifty future around 5032 with stoploss at 5065 for targets 4975, 4920, 4885.


Bull Level


Nifty future crossing 5065 buy on retracement to 5032 with stoploss at 5001 for targets 5090, 5117, 5155.


Note:


RIL has announced 1:1 bonus after 12 years which should better the sentiments for the stock after the recent treasury stock sale.


However the impact of this news on stocks other than RIL needs to be observed.


Hence there is no recommendation for any stock today.




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Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Nifty Outlook 13-August-2009

Flashback


The fibonacci time confluence did take place, but unfortunately, long stop loss was triggered in the process.


Bull Level


Buy nifty future around 4445 with stop loss at 4410 for targets 4505, 4535, 4565, 4600.


Bear Level


In the scenario of nifty future breaking 4410 , short at retracment to 4440 with stop loss at 4465 for targets 4390, 4350, 4320, 4290.


Sultan of Stocks - Bears in trouble


See the low of RIL today and weekly level here.


For tomorrow trading buy RIL around 1965 with stop loss at 1941 for targets 1995, 2025, 2045.


In the scenario of RIL breaking 1941 short on retracement to 1958 with stop loss at 1978 for targets 1925, 1905, 1890.


Disclaimer : This is not a recommendation/ solicitation of any order to buy or sell, but Jerry's view on indian stock market. I assume no responsibility for any opinion or statement made in this blog. Readers are urged to exercise their own judgment in trading. Readers shall solely be responsible for profit/loss.

Sunday, August 9, 2009

Weekly Outlook 10-August-2009 till 14-August-2009

Weekly Outlook post format is undergoing change. Do leave your opinion on the new format.


Nifty


Weekly Resistance Levels


R5 4771


R4 4739


R3 4670


R2 4600


R1 4542


Weekly Support Levels


S1 4428


S2 4400


S3 4341


S4 4299


S5 4271



Bank Nifty


Weekly Resistance Levels


R5 7763


R4 7632


R3 7569


R2 7499


R1 7404


Weekly Support Levels


S1 7263


S2 7197


S3 7123


S4 7104


S5 6942


Reliance - King of Stocks


Weekly Resistance Levels


R5 2199


R4 2161


R3 2123


R2 2085


R1 2057


Weekly Support Levels


S1 1975


S2 1949


S3 1910


S4 1860


S5 1800



Last week's outlook


Last week's profit tracker


Sunday, July 26, 2009

Weekly Index Outlook 27-July-2009 - 31-July-2009

Nifty


Nifty's further move depends on how market reacts to lacklusture numbers by RIL on friday evening.


Nifty weekly resistances are placed at 4611-4660 and 4785 while weekly supports are placed at


4485, 4380, 4285.


Sultan of stocks - Reliance


As traders we should expect one sided movement in RIL this week.


On the bullish side closing above 2055 will take RIL to 2200 this week.


On the bearish side closing below 1950 will take RIL to 1805 this week.


King of Banks


SBI could not follow up with an impressive performance last week.


In the weak ahead, SBIN needs to firmly close above 1750 inorder to move to 1830.


Failing to do so, SBI is in danger of a fearful bear attack to 1650 and 1580 levels.

Sunday, July 12, 2009

Index and Biggies - Weekly Outlook 13th July - 17th July 2009

Nifty


Supports for nifty are placed at 3850 and 3640 this week.


If nifty is able to test the first support successfully it can test the reistance levels at 4190 and 4250.


I had a writen last week about how 4170 has become critical confluence support. Nifty has closed significantly below that level.


Sultan of stocks - Reliance


Reliance will run into strong resistances at 1840 and 1870 this week. Strong support for RIL exists at 1685.


However failure to hold the first support will result in RIL getting thrashed to 1590 and 1460.


King of Banks - SBI


Weekly reistances for SBIN are placed at 1650 and 1670 this week. 1450 should provide good support for SBI failing which SBI can fall


to 1320 and 1150.


New Kid on the block - LT


LT is in danger of going to sub 1000 level if it is unable to trade above 1500 this week. Small supports do exist at 1280 and 1160.

World Markets (delayed)